陕西省能源消费与经济增长关系的实证研究

陕西省能源消费与经济增长关系的实证研究 摘要 目前，陕西省正处于经济发展的重要阶段。能源消费可以推进经济发展，那 么在经济发展过程中对能源的需求非常大。通过本文的研究，学会用科学的眼光 去看待、认识陕西省能源消费和经济增长这两者之间的规律。本文的研究主要分 为四个部分，首先，概述了论文的选题背景以及论文的研究意义，还有本次研究 所用到的相关理论和参考文献，论文研究用到的方法以及论文内容；其次，从能 源资源的分布和能源消费的总量和结构的角度，介绍了陕西省能源消费的现状， 通过分析近几年陕西省的GDP、增长率以及三次产业GDP等来了解其近年的经济 增长现状；然后选取能源消费和经济增长的指标，构建模型，运用平稳性检验法 和最小二乘回归对相关数据进行分析；最后总结全文，指出论文的不足，针对论 文研究中发现的问题提出一些建议。希望通过本次论文的研究，能够更好地巩固 所学专业知识，通过实证研究能够准确地知道陕西省能源消费与经济增长之间的 关系，今后在发展经济时就有了发展方向，对陕西省的经济发展规划起到一定的 参考作用。 关键词能源消费；经济增长；平稳性检验法；最小二乘回归; Titl An Empirical Study on the Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Shaanxi Province Abstract At present, Shaanxi Province is in an important stage of economic development. Energy consumption can promote economic development, so the demand for energy in the process of economic development is very large. Through the research in this article, I learned to look at and understand the laws between energy consumption and economic growth in Shaanxi Province with a scientific perspective. The research of this paper is mainly divided into four parts. Firstly, it outlines the background and significance of the research, as well as the relevant theories and references used in this research, the s used in the research and the content of the paper. Secondly, from the point of view of the distribution of energy resources and the total amount and structure of energy consumption, this paper introduces the current situation of energy consumption in Shaanxi Province, and through analyzing the GDP, growth rate and GDP of the three industries in Shaanxi Province in recent years, it understands the current economic growth situation. Then select the indicators of energy consumption and economic growth, build a model, and use the stationarity test and least square regression to analyze the relevant data. Finally, the paper summarizes the full text, points out the shortcomings of the paper, and puts forward some suggestions for the problems found in the research. I hope that through the research of this paper, I can better consolidate my professional knowledge, and through empirical research, I can accurately know the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Shaanxi Province, which will be developed in the future when developing economy.there will be a development direction, which will play a certain reference role in Shaanxi provinces economic development planning. Keywords Energy consumption； Economic growth； Stationarity test； Least square regression 1绪论3 1.1选题背景与研究意义4 1.1. 1选题背景4 1.1.2研究意义4 1.2理论概述4 1.2. 1经济增长理论4 1.2.2能源消费理论5 1.3研究方法与研究内容5 1.3. 1研究方法5 1.3.2研究内容5 2陕西省能源消费与经济增长现状5 2.1陕西省能源消费现状6 2. 1. 1能源资源现状6 2. 1.2能源消费总量与结构现状6 2.2陕西省经济增长现状7 2. 2. 1GDP与增长率变化趋势7 2. 2. 2三大产业GDP与其结构变化趋势9 3陕西省能源消费与经济增长关系分析9 3.1指标选取和理论模型9 3.2数据来源9 3. 3数据检验10 3. 3. 1平稳性检验法10 3. 3.2能源消费总量的平稳性检验10 3.4最小二乘回归法11 4结论与建议12 参考文献13 致谢14 1绪论 1.1选题背景与研究意义 1.1.1选题背景 我国能源资源丰富，在经济发展过程中，能源消费对我国经济起